[icernet] Reliability of Indian pre-poll surveys & exit polls

[Arul Selvan MIC]

The argument would run that since there are more players, the
statistical chances of going wrong increases. But beyond the apparent
explanations rest more fundamental reasons on why pre-poll surveys and
exit polls are becoming more and more flawed with their results rarely
coming anywhere close to the final verdict. The answer, as to why the
scenario has become akin to a game of guessing with numbers, can be
found in imperfect models, questionable methodology and suspect
political judgement.

Source:
http://www.dailypioneer.com/archives1/secon2.asp?cat=/opd1&d=Oped&fdnam=dec1802